An injury to quarterback Aaron Rodgers had turned Sunday’s game on its head

The Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers meet in a Week 10 matchup complicated by the absence of Aaron Rodgers. Sunday’s game is of vital importance to both teams’ playoff chances, but it’s unclear if the Packers have the offensive firepower to keep up with the dangerous Eagles.

Unpredictability makes this one of the hardest games to pick this week. Odds are even between the sides, and neither team has been particularly convincing recently. The Eagles are 4-5 against the spread in their last nine games, while Green Bay is slightly more reliable at 5-3, but it’s important to note the Packers are 4-1 against the spread in the last five weeks.

Offensive success for the Packers will hinge on the ability of rookie running back Eddie Lacy. Against the Bears when Rodgers went down, Lacy responded with 150 rushing yards and a touchdown. He will work against the league’s 18th-ranked run defense in Philadelphia, which is giving up an average of 111.8 yards per game.

The line is holding even after opening at a -10 for the Packers — this is the Rodgers factor. Some books are favoring Green Bay by one, but that’s the largest margin being offered at this time. Unreliable defensive units have Sunday’s game pegged to be high scoring; the over/under sits at 46.5.

The most-likely winner this weekend is Philadelphia, purely by virtue of quarterback play. The Packers were a shadow of themselves without Rodgers under center, and it’s hard to see a run-first offense succeeded against a quick-fire Eagles passing attack.16

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